quantiatrading lab

Test results

How each system would have done with $10,000

We ran every strategy in the MetaTrader 5 tester on almost six years of prices (January 2021 to November 2026), using the settings the master account runs today. Below are the results month by month, by year, and the path of a hypothetical $10,000 account.

Period: Jan 2021 – Nov 2026 (to 14 November 2026)Starting balance: $10,000Profits reinvested monthly

Hypothetical results, not real trading. These are tests on past prices. Past results do not guarantee future results, and real results are usually worse than a test. Read the limitations at the end of this page.

Pick a system

Each system is shown at its default risk (the Conservative setting). In your dashboard you can raise it to 1.5 or 2 times: higher possible returns, but also bigger drawdowns.

Final balance$28,110
Total return+181%
Annual return+19%
Worst drawdown (month-end)−3.2%
Positive months70%
Worst month−2.3%

Path of a hypothetical $10,000 account

$5,000$10,000$15,000$20,000$25,000$30,000Jan 202120222023202420252026Heimdall
Heimdall: $28,110

Month by month

Each month's return on the balance at the start of that month. The Year column is the compounded result for the year.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2021−0.4%−0.7%−0.9%+1.2%+0.5%+1.7%+0.2%+0.3%+1.6%+0.7%+1.4%+1.1%+6.9%
2022+1.9%+0.8%+0.8%+1.9%−0.8%+2.0%+1.2%−1.4%+8.0%−0.1%+4.2%+4.2%+24.8%
2023+2.5%−2.3%+3.1%+1.1%−0.6%−0.8%+2.3%+2.5%−0.8%+3.4%+2.1%+3.9%+17.4%
2024−1.6%+3.1%−1.6%+2.1%+0.2%−1.5%+0.6%+2.0%+5.0%+4.5%+6.0%+5.9%+27.3%
2025+3.4%+5.0%+1.8%+0.9%+5.8%+2.5%−0.7%+1.5%−0.8%−0.5%+6.4%+2.7%+31.4%
2026+1.1%−1.8%−0.4%−0.4%−0.6%+1.3%+3.1%−2.2%+1.2%+5.5%+0.5%·+7.4%
Final balance$52,947
Total return+429%
Annual return+33%
Worst drawdown (month-end)−14.7%
Positive months69%
Worst month−12.1%

Path of a hypothetical $10,000 account

$0$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000Jan 202120222023202420252026Thor
Thor: $52,947

Month by month

Each month's return on the balance at the start of that month. The Year column is the compounded result for the year.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2021−1.7%−0.2%+0.1%−3.1%+7.7%+10.4%+9.3%+1.4%+10.4%−1.5%+2.8%+5.2%+47.3%
2022−12.1%−2.2%−0.7%+7.9%+6.7%+2.2%+3.3%+5.8%+2.0%+2.2%−4.9%+7.7%+17.2%
2023+1.1%−3.6%−3.0%+9.4%+10.3%+4.5%+0.4%+5.4%+4.2%−0.5%+1.7%+1.2%+34.8%
2024+3.0%+2.0%+2.4%−7.4%+5.9%+0.9%−3.6%+13.1%+5.5%+6.4%+9.8%+10.5%+58.1%
2025+1.9%+5.7%+0.4%+7.3%+5.6%−6.9%+0.3%+8.2%+0.2%+5.7%−1.1%+1.8%+32.0%
2026−1.2%+6.4%−5.9%−1.5%−2.3%+2.8%−3.8%−1.3%+17.5%−1.5%+1.2%·+9.0%
Final balance$461,889
Total return+4,519%
Annual return+91%
Worst drawdown (month-end)−11.7%
Positive months76%
Worst month−8.9%

Path of a hypothetical $10,000 account

$0$100,000$200,000$300,000$400,000$500,000Jan 202120222023202420252026Odin
Odin: $461,889

Month by month

Each month's return on the balance at the start of that month. The Year column is the compounded result for the year.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2021−5.5%+0.8%−0.3%+1.5%+11.7%+11.9%+6.9%+1.4%+17.2%−4.5%+1.8%+4.6%+55.8%
2022−3.4%−7.4%+8.2%+17.3%+15.4%+12.1%−4.4%+2.8%+12.8%+7.7%+4.9%+13.3%+108.4%
2023+4.3%−3.3%−6.5%+14.2%+6.8%+10.7%+3.1%+7.3%+1.1%+8.7%+7.9%+1.6%+69.7%
2024−0.5%+2.1%+4.1%−0.0%+9.3%+6.0%+7.0%+17.4%+14.9%+15.2%+16.5%+16.7%+177.1%
2025+4.3%+15.4%+3.1%+17.4%+14.1%−8.9%+7.3%+14.4%+7.3%+5.7%+2.6%+5.8%+129.0%
2026+13.3%+5.8%−4.8%−0.1%−2.2%+2.4%−0.7%−6.6%+21.7%−2.1%+4.9%·+32.1%

Side by side

The same results in one table, at default risk and on $10,000.

SystemTotalAnnualWorst drawdownMonths +Worst monthTrades
HEIMDALL+181%+19%−3.2%70%−2.3%1260
THOR+429%+33%−14.7%69%−12.1%1663
ODIN+4,519%+91%−11.7%76%−8.9%5527

How we tested

  • MetaTrader 5 strategy tester, "1-minute OHLC" mode, from 1 January 2021 to 14 November 2026. We used Alpari's price history because it goes back much further than our broker's (PlexyTrade), whose tick history starts in 2024.
  • Spreads and swaps from Alpari's history. On the yen pairs (Heimdall) we applied the spread and commission we measured at PlexyTrade, the broker members will use.
  • The same strategies and settings the master account runs today, at each component's default risk: 0.25–1% of balance per trade, or a fixed exposure for the index systems.
  • Each strategy is tested on its own and the monthly results are added up to form each system and Odin. Each month starts from the previous month's balance.
  • The worst drawdown uses month-end balances. Drawdowns inside a month can be larger.

What a test can't tell you

It is the past

Markets change. A strategy that worked can stop working, and there will be losing streaks and losing months the test does not show.

It was designed on known data

The rules were chosen by studying past prices, partly from this same period. That tends to make a test look better than the future.

Six years are not every market

The period includes rallies, sell-offs and sharp interest-rate changes, but the future can bring conditions that do not appear here.

1-minute prices, not ticks

The test uses each minute's open, high, low and close. Inside a minute the real order of prices can differ, for example whether a trade hits its stop or its target first.

Copying has a cost

Your account gets the signal with a delay and trades with your broker's spread and slippage. On small accounts the minimum lot size changes the real risk.

Our working assumption

For planning we assume about half the test return and drawdowns 30% larger. We will publish the master account's real, verified record once it has enough history.

Hypothetical performance disclosure

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Want to see it live?

Join the waitlist: founding members join the test group before launch.

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